Jakupovic/Moore (@1.33) vs Sun/Zheng (@3.4)
10-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Jakupovic/Moore will win

Jakupovic/Moore – Sun/Zheng Match Prediction | 10-09-2019 07:00

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Its only a matter of time before constant break points to her opponent will catch up to her. Sabalenka has dominated her first serve for the most part this tournament and is a nightmare matchup when shes controlling the pace and hitting her spots. Zheng should be highly motivated to get her first career title out of the way, but her shaky serve will likely be her downfall.

Venus has split her last six matches on hard court. However, when Venus has her legs under her and is getting her first serve in play, shes a legit x-factor and capable of crashing a draw. Venus Williams is coming off a quarterfinal trip in Cincinnati, easily her best tournament since Miami, so she enters this week with some much needed confidence. Venus has lost in the first round in four of her last seven grand slam appearances. Venus has had issues with her serve and unforced errors all tournament and it makes it tough to predict which player youre going to get from match to match. Venus has never lost in the first round of the US Open.

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Zheng got 69 percent of her first serves in play and saved three of her six break points. Zheng has won six of her last nine matches on hard court. In the victory, Zheng won 62 percent of her first serve points and 45 percent of her second serve points. Saisai Zheng is coming off a straight sets win over Maria Sakkari that took 21 games to decide. Zheng won 57 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her six break points. Zheng looks to win the first title of her career, and this is her first final appearance since last years Jiangxi Open. It was easily the best serving performance weve seen from Zheng this tournament, and now six of her last eight wins overall have been decided in straight sets.

Zheng has lost in the first round in seven of her last nine grand slam appearances. Zheng has won six of her last eight matches on hard court. Zheng beat her fifth career top-10 player in that tournament and has won six of her last eight matches overall. When Zheng gets 65 percent or better of her first serves in play, Zheng has won four of her last five matches. Saisai Zheng is coming off a second match exit in Cincinnati, but shes in good spirits overall considering she just won her first career singles title in the Silicon Valley Classic. While the service can be shaky at times, Zheng has proven she can be a very tough out when shes getting her first serve in play.

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Sabalenka got 63 percent of her first serves in play, saved three of her seven break points and hit five aces. Sabalenka has won her last three final appearances overall and is 3-1 in finals on hard court. Sabalenka has won six of her seven sets this tournament, but her second serve could improve drastically. Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight sets win over Donna Vekic that took 19 games to decide. Sabalenka looks to win here second title of the year and the fourth title of her career. In the victory, Sabalenka won 80 percent of her first serve points and 17 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 57 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 13 break points. Sabalenka has won five of her last seven matches on hard court.

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Venus matches these days simply come down to her limiting her unforced errors and getting her first serve in play. I still give the edge to Venus because of the home crowd and her rising to a new level at this tournament. When Venus is playing clean tennis, shes still a respectable player out there, but shes also more than capable of hitting herself out of a match. Venus has never lost in the first round of the US Open, and shell have some extra motivation knowing she doesnt have many of these chances left.

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