Milwaukee Brewers (@2.1) vs St. Louis Cardinals (@1.72)
13-09-2019

Our Prediction:

St. Louis Cardinals will win

Milwaukee Brewers – St. Louis Cardinals Match Prediction | 13-09-2019 20:15

TheBrewers are 16-6 in their last 22 Monday games,6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series and5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. TheBrewers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. TheCardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games,7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series and13-3 in Hudsons last 16 starts. The under is 33-15-3 in Davies' last 51 starts overall. The under is 4-1 in Hudsons last 5 starts overall.

Davies is coming off a short stint on the DL (sore back) to start Monday night. Most recently, 17 days ago, he gave up four runs and seven hits through four innings of a 6-2 Milwaukee loss to the Cubs. And over his last three starts he gave up 18 runs 17 earned and 20 hits, including six homers, through 13 innings. On the season he's 8/23 on quality starts but 0 for his last three.

Paul DeJong hit his 22nd homer Monday against the Brewers. Pretty much all of DeJong's offensive value in recent months has come in the form of homers; he had a .403 OBP in April, a .360 OBP in May, a .259 OBP in June, a .276 OBP in July and a .276 OBP so far in August.

The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,092 base hits and 590 earned runs. The Brewers have a 64-60 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 453 base hits on the year. He has 47 strikeouts over his 54.1 innings pitched and he's given up 48 hits. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.64. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,131. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have allowed 182 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.27. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 551 hitters and walked 226 batters. Starting pitcher Gio Gonzalez has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74.

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If the recent form is added, then St. Plus, they will also hold a slight edge on the pitching department since Dakota Hudson is coming off a strong outing the last time out. The Cardinals have a psychological edge over the Brewers since they have won the last four meetings between both sides. Louis certainly looks like the favourite in this contest.

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Milwaukee has walked 467 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,180 times as a unit. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 601 runs this year. The Brewers hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 10th in baseball. As a team Milwaukee is hitting .251, good for 17th in the league. He has a slugging percentage of .358 and an OPS+ of 74. Christian Yelich is hitting .335 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .424. The Brewers have 1,074 hits, including 212 doubles and 202 home runs. He has totaled 141 hits and he has driven in 89 men in 421 at bats. He has 113 hits this season in 452 at bats with 40 runs batted in. His OPS+ is 182 while his slugging percentage is at .698. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .317. They have left 894 men on base and have a team OPS of .777.

Wacha pitched well in Cincinnati but has been terrible otherwise. Nevertheless, he gets another start tonight and while Milwaukee struggled to generate offense last night, I see the Brewers rebounding tonight. The Cardinals are 2-5 in Wachas last seven starts versus the Brewers, who are 5-1 in Gio Gonzalezs last six starts overall and 4-1 in his last five outings on the road. Hes been bounced out of the Cardinals starting rotation twice already and he probably would be better served as a reliever at this point than as the clubs fifth starter.

Davies is 2-2 with a 4.64 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the Cardinals. Zach Davies gets the ball, and he is 8-5 with a 3.74 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. The Milwaukee Brewers have won six of their last eight games when scoring four or more runs. The Brewers have scored 24 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 11 games. Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 141 hits and 89 RBI while Mike Moustakas and Lorenzo Cain have combined for 232 hits and 111 RBI. The Milwaukee Brewers look for a win after splitting their last eight games.

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On the other hand, his pitch locations were solid and his pitch movement was improved. He allowed two earned runs in the loss. Wacha secured another start after going a respectable five innings his last time out against the Cincinnati Reds. Furthermore, Wachas numbers against Milwaukee are quite good a 2.25 ERA in two starts (three earned runs in 12-plus innings pitched).