Southend (@4.0) vs Fleetwood Town (@1.9)

Our Prediction:

Fleetwood Town will win

Southend – Fleetwood Town Match Prediction | 15-09-2019 10:00

Southend offer the perfect opportunity to get back on track on their travels. The Cod Army battered Peterborough away 3-1 in their opening league match this term but since then have lost 3-2 to Doncaster Rovers, and 2-0 at Lincoln City. Fleetwood moved to fourth in the League One table last weekend by beating Oxford United 2-1 last weekend. A win could take them top.

The visitors will have their eyes on a fifth win of the season. Its been a dismal start to the campaign for Southend, who remain pointless after six matches and whore currently without a permanent manager after Kevin Bond resigned a few days ago. The hosts will be hoping to put points on the board when they welcome Fleetwood to Roots Hall on Saturday afternoon.

They easily bettered Plymouth in their penultimate match, scoring two goals, conceding none and emerging with an expected goal difference of +1.84. Things werent looking too positive for Fleetwood when they went away to Coventry and returned with no points, though Joey Bartons men werent deterred by that result and have since built on what was a reasonable display. That victory gave the Cod Army a platform from which to build, and build they did, as they went away to Accrington last weekend and ground out a hard-fought win.

Without blowing teams away, Joey Bartons men have looked strong in the final third, scoring an average of 1.71 goals and averaging 1.63 expected goals for. The Cod Army have also done a reasonable job of restricting their opponents, conceding more than once in just two of their seven games, while theyve surrendered just 0.66 expected goals for, which tells us that high-quality scoring opportunities for their opponents have been few and far between.

Southend vs Fleetwood Town Stats

If results were to be believed, then Fleetwood arent too great at home, though theyve certainly not been easy to beat. Such figures are very impressive. Only Luton, Portsmouth and Scunthorpe have won at Highbury Stadium since the start of October, while Saturdays hosts have given little away in recent times, as theyve conceded expected-goals against numbers of 0.5, 0.62, 0.76, 0.29 and 0.24 in their last five in front of a home crowd.

As things stand, a top-six finish looks unlikely, but the Cod Army are going in the right direction after winning two on the bounce, so they wont feel out of it just yet. With Doncaster having improved their form over the last few weeks, its going to be difficult for anyone to break into the top six, though Fleetwood are one of a handful of teams that are starting to ensure that theyre ready to pounce should something go wrong.

Southend United havent had the best of starts to the 2019/20 campaign, and they currently find themselves on a six game losing streak, with their last league result being a 3-0 defeat at home to Rochdale at Roots Hall. With only scoring four goals in the league three coming from their own players, the coaching staff will be hoping for a bit more luck in front of the sticks.

Bartons side failed to beat Southend United last season, with a loss at Roots Hall and a 2-2 draw at Highbury, but with no focus on the past, the clubs head coach knows his players can go and pick up all three points if they focus on what they need to do and not thinking about Southends current situation.

Theyve kept zero clean sheets, have conceded more than once in five out of six, four of which theyve failed to score in. After six games, the Shrimpers have conceded 17 and have scored just four. Moreover, theyre averaging just 0.76 expected goals for and have conceded an average of 1.58. Theyve struggled to both create chances and score goals, while theyve also given away both scoring opportunities and goals far too easily. Their problems maybe plentiful, but there are two very simple reason as to why Southend are in a perilous position.

Southend Utd - Fleetwood Town

Out-of-sorts Southend United will be looking to put an end to their dreadful losing run when they take on Fleetwood Town at their Roots Hall. The hosts will surely leave their hearts on the field in Saturdays football match, but they will have a big fish to fry against the Fishermen. The Shrimpers have been totally out of form at the start of the season and it is no surprise bookmakers see them as one of the main candidates to suffer relegation to the English fourth tier.

In the betting, Fleetwood to Win & Under 3.5 Goals stands out. Not only have the hosts given very little away at home of late, as theyve surrendered an average of just 0.48 expected goals, but Southend have offered little going forward on their travels of late. When we also consider that Fleetwood arent really the sort of side to dish out a real battering at home and combine their recent average expected goal difference of +0.84 at home with Southends away-day figure of -0.99, backing the hosts to edge it makes plenty of sense.

On that occasion, the Shrimpers failed to muster a shot on target, while they clocked just 0.24 expected goals for. While Saturdays hosts have stopped teams from creating at Highbury of late, Southend have found it tough to get going offensively. Last time out, they were shut out at home by Shrewsbury, as they posted a pathetic 0.47 expected goals for, while they were even poorer when losing to Peterborough in their last away match.

Whats more, their average of 1.63 expected goals for, while far better than Southends, makes a relatively low scoring away win appeal at the current prices. Southend have done nothing to suggest that they can seriously trouble a Fleetwood side that has given little away, while their defensive efforts dont bode well either. After all, Bartons men havent scored more than twice since the opening day. However, we shouldnt necessarily expect the visitors to run riot. From a betting point of view, Fleetwood & Under 3.5 Goals.

Add in Madden to score and it's a play that could reap rewards.. Southend have conceded at least twice in their last five matches in the league and Fleetwood are far more trustworthy in front of goal. It's all about Fleetwood this one from a betting perspective. They have conceded at least once in their last six away league matches, but that's not a rrend Southend can be trusted to continue.